Swansea City vs Watford prediction — Championship · Tue 1 Sept · 19:45 UK

Championship · Tue 1 Sept · 19:45 UK
Swansea City 42Draw 28Watford 30
The call
72%
Over 1.5 goals
2.5
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–0
Goal before half-time (before kick-off)
58%
Both teams score (before kick-off)
51%
3+ goals (before kick-off)
47%

How it finished

Swansea City beat Watford 2–0. Bawler's model had Swansea City in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Swansea City had 18 shots (8 on target) to Watford's 9 (3), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.8.

Swansea CityFull-time statsWatford
60%Possession40%
2.8Expected goals (xG)0.8
18Shots9
8Shots on target3
10Shots inside box8
6Big chances2
5Corners3
3Saves6
6Fouls14
1Offsides4
0Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSwansea City 42%Swansea City (42% called)
Total goals2.52
Both teams to score51%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 72%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected · full match

Swansea CityWatford
1.4Goals1.1
12.1Shots11.0
3.8On target3.4
4.7Corners3.9

What we expected

MarketProbability
Swansea City to score76%
Under 3.5 goals75%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Watford to score68%

First half — what we expected

Swansea City
39%
to score before half-time
Watford
31%
to score before half-time

Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 58%

Swansea CityWatford
5.41st-half shots5.0
1.61st-half shots on target1.4
2.21st-half corners1.8

First-half chances

72%Chance of 4+ shots67%
44%Chance of 6+ shots38%
76%Chance of 1+ shots on target71%
23%Chance of 3+ shots on target19%
84%Chance of 1+ corners79%
37%Chance of 3+ corners28%

How the match splits

1st half2nd half
Shots · Swansea City5.46.7
Shots · Watford5.05.9
Shots on target · Swansea City1.62.2
Shots on target · Watford1.41.9
Corners · Swansea City2.22.5
Corners · Watford1.82.1
How to read this

First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's last six first halves.

Second half — who scores?

What we read at half-time appears here once it loads.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Swansea City vs Watford?

Swansea City beat Watford 2–0. Bawler's model had Swansea City in front at 42% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.5 goals and the match produced 2. Swansea City had 18 shots (8 on target) to Watford's 9 (3), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 2.8 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Swansea City vs Watford?

Swansea City 2–0 Watford, played on 01 Sept 2026 in the ENGLAND: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Swansea City 42%, the draw 28% and Watford 30%.

What were the stats in Swansea City vs Watford?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 2.8–0.8, Shots 18–9, Shots on target 8–3, Shots inside box 10–8, Big chances 6–2, Corners 5–3, Saves 3–6, Fouls 6–14, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 0–4.

Did both teams score in Swansea City vs Watford?

No. It finished 2–0, so Watford failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Swansea City vs Watford right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Swansea City 42%, it finished Swansea City (42% called); Total goals — we said 2.5, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 72%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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