FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Swansea City 0–0 Sheffield UnitedMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 22 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Swansea City or draw at 64%. Bawler had Swansea City at 36%, the draw at 28% and Sheffield United at 36%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Swansea City win
36%
Draw
28%
Result
Sheffield United win
36%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.3
Total 2.6
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.6 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced 2.6 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 74%
Missed
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 51%
Landed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 28%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.