FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Watford 1–2 Stoke CityMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Watford win
48%
Draw
27%
Stoke City win
25%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.1
Total 2.6
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (+0.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.4 – 1.4
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.4 of our 2.6.