Bawler / Stoke City vs Swansea City / Recap
FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Stoke City 1–2 Swansea CityMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Stoke City
1–2
Swansea City win
Swansea City
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean

Pre-match, Bawler had Stoke City at 44%, draw at 34%, Swansea City at 22%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-2. The model's headline call was Stoke City to win.

> Pre-match probability vs result
City win
44%
Draw
34%
City win
22%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 70%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 52%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
X2
Pre-match: 32%
✓ Won

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