How it finished
Strasbourg and AS Monaco drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Strasbourg at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Strasbourg had 13 shots (2 on target) to AS Monaco's 12 (3), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 72%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Strasbourg vs AS Monaco?
Strasbourg and AS Monaco drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Strasbourg at 47% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.3 goals; only 2 were scored. Strasbourg had 13 shots (2 on target) to AS Monaco's 12 (3), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.9 to 0.8.
What was the final score in Strasbourg vs AS Monaco?
Strasbourg 1–1 AS Monaco, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the France: Ligue 1. Bawler's model had gone into it with Strasbourg 47%, the draw 24% and AS Monaco 29%.
What were the stats in Strasbourg vs AS Monaco?
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.9–0.8, Shots 13–12, Shots on target 2–3, Shots inside box 6–8, Big chances 0–0, Corners 2–7, Saves 2–2, Fouls 9–10, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Strasbourg vs AS Monaco?
Yes — both Strasbourg and AS Monaco scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 64% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Strasbourg vs AS Monaco right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Strasbourg or draw 71%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 64%, it finished Yes.