FT · France: Ligue 1 · Friday, 18 September 2026
AS Monaco 2–1 LensMatch recap · Friday, 18 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
AS Monaco win
35%
Result
Draw
24%
Lens win
41%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.7
Total 3.3
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 3.3.