FT · France: Ligue 1 · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Strasbourg 1–1 AS MonacoMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Strasbourg win
47%
Draw
24%
Result
AS Monaco win
29%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 1.4
Total 3.3
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−1.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.3 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.