AS Monaco beat CSKA Sofia 2–1. CSKA Sofia had 21 shots (5 on target) to AS Monaco's 10 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.3.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
AS Monaco beat CSKA Sofia 2–1. CSKA Sofia had 21 shots (5 on target) to AS Monaco's 10 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.3.
CSKA Sofia 1–2 AS Monaco, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Conference League. Bawler's model had gone into it with CSKA Sofia 18%, the draw 22% and AS Monaco 60%.
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.3, Shots 21–10, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 11–9, Big chances 2–4, Corners 12–1, Saves 3–4, Fouls 13–12, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–1.
Yes — both CSKA Sofia and AS Monaco scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.