CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco prediction — Conference League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK

Conference League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK
18CSKA Sofia win22Draw60AS Monaco win
Full time
1–2

How it finished

AS Monaco beat CSKA Sofia 2–1. CSKA Sofia had 21 shots (5 on target) to AS Monaco's 10 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.3.

CSKA SofiaFull-time statsAS Monaco
50%Possession50%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.3
21Shots10
5Shots on target5
11Shots inside box9
2Big chances4
12Corners1
3Saves4
13Fouls12
1Offsides2
3Yellow cards1
We predicted
1–2
Likeliest score if AS Monaco win (10%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (10%)
Expected goals
1.0v2.0
3.0 in total
Both teams score
56%
Leans yes
3+ goals
59%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

CSKA SofiaCSKA SofiaAS MonacoAS Monaco
1.0Goals2.0
15.4Shots10.7
5.7On target4.5
4.1Corners3.5
CSKA SofiaCSKA SofiaAS MonacoAS Monaco
0.5Goals0.8
7.0Shots5.3
2.6On target2.1
1.9Corners1.6
CSKA SofiaCSKA SofiaAS MonacoAS Monaco
0.6Goals1.2
8.4Shots5.5
3.1On target2.4
2.2Corners1.8

What we said the chances were

AS Monaco to score87%
2 or more goals81%
Goal before half-time71%
CSKA Sofia to score64%
3 goals or fewer64%

First half — what we expected

CSKA Sofia
36%
to score before half-time
AS Monaco
55%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

CSKA SofiaCSKA SofiaAS MonacoAS Monaco
64%6+ shots42%
40%8+ shots20%
69%2+ shots on target57%
27%4+ shots on target17%
80%1+ corners75%
30%3+ corners24%

League position

AS Monaco in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Ligue 1 table →
All fixtures & results →CSKA Sofia form →AS Monaco form →

Common questions

Who won CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco?

AS Monaco beat CSKA Sofia 2–1. CSKA Sofia had 21 shots (5 on target) to AS Monaco's 10 (5), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.3.

What was the final score in CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco?

CSKA Sofia 1–2 AS Monaco, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Conference League. Bawler's model had gone into it with CSKA Sofia 18%, the draw 22% and AS Monaco 60%.

What were the stats in CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco?

Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.3, Shots 21–10, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 11–9, Big chances 2–4, Corners 12–1, Saves 3–4, Fouls 13–12, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 3–1.

Did both teams score in CSKA Sofia vs AS Monaco?

Yes — both CSKA Sofia and AS Monaco scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.