How it finished
St Mirren and Motherwell drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Motherwell at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 6. St Mirren had 23 shots (9 on target) to Motherwell's 22 (7), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 2.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 67%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won St Mirren vs Motherwell?
St Mirren and Motherwell drew 3–3. Bawler's model favoured Motherwell at 41% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 6. St Mirren had 23 shots (9 on target) to Motherwell's 22 (7), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 2.3 to 2.2.
What was the final score in St Mirren vs Motherwell?
St Mirren 3–3 Motherwell, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the SCOTLAND: Premiership. Bawler's model had gone into it with St Mirren 30%, the draw 29% and Motherwell 41%.
What were the stats in St Mirren vs Motherwell?
Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 2.3–2.2, Shots 23–22, Shots on target 9–7, Shots inside box 17–16, Big chances 4–3, Corners 7–7, Saves 4–6, Fouls 14–12, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in St Mirren vs Motherwell?
Yes — both St Mirren and Motherwell scored, finishing 3–3. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for St Mirren vs Motherwell right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Motherwell 41%, it finished Draw (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 6; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 70%, it finished Landed.