FT · SCOTLAND: Premiership · Wednesday, 02 September 2026
Motherwell 3–0 Dundee UnitedMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Wednesday, 02 September 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Motherwell at 60%, draw at 22%, Dundee United at 18%. The match ended 3-0 — confirming the model's lean toward Motherwell.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Motherwell win
60%
Actual ✓
Draw
22%
United win
18%
> Expected vs actual goals
Model expected (xG)
2.02 – 1.02
Total 3.04
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (-0.0 vs xG)
Total goals landed close to the model's expectation — within 0.0 of forecast. Suggests this match played to the underlying xG balance.
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
1X
Pre-match: 82%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 36%
✗ Lost