What we expected
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Bawler's model rates this match: Motherwell are favoured (59% win probability vs 17% for Aberdeen, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Motherwell 1-0 Aberdeen (12.0% probability). Expected total goals: 2.71.
How does Bawler predict Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Motherwell 59%, the draw 24% and Aberdeen 17%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
BTTS: No (51% probability) — at least one team likely fails to score. Based on home expected goals 1.82 and away expected goals 0.89.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Motherwell vs Aberdeen?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.71. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).