Bawler / SCOTLAND: Premiership / Motherwell
Team profile · SCOTLAND: Premiership

Motherwell Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
5
4 settled
Goals for
1.25
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.37
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
50%
2/4 calls

Motherwell prediction: for Motherwell's next match — Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki on Thursday 13 Aug, 18:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a Motherwell win looks most likely (40%). The model's strongest call is Motherwell or Draw.

Motherwell sit close to the Premiership average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.25 expected goals a game and conceding 1.37. They are unbeaten across their last 4 settled matches. Next up is HJK Helsinki, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 40%.

Next match

Home vs HJK Helsinki · Thursday 13 Aug, 18:30 UTC

Win
40%
Motherwell
Draw
28%
Loss
32%
HJK Helsinki
High confidence · Motherwell or Draw @ 68%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 4 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 3D 0L
Real goals
1.0 – 0.8
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Motherwell compare with the SCOTLAND: Premiership average, per match.

Goals for
1.25
Below average
Goals against
1.37
Tighter than most
Scored1.25
Conceded1.37

The grey line on each bar is the SCOTLAND: Premiership average (1.34 scored, 1.40 conceded).

Squad availability · Motherwell vs HJK Helsinki
Fetching squad availability…

How to read this: known injuries, suspensions, and doubtful players for both squads, pulled from FotMob's official feed. Updates close to kickoff as managers confirm availability.

📊 Motherwell in numbers

41 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.5
Goals · per game
let in 0.9
🏠 1.6✈️ 1.4
3.7
Corners · per game
give up 4.3
🏠 3.8✈️ 3.7
12.9
Shots · per game
faced 10.9
🏠 13.9✈️ 11.9
4.7
On target · per game
faced 3.8
🏠 5.3✈️ 4.1
🗓️ Last 6 games
09 Aug
0-0
vs Falkirk
🚩 2-2
06 Aug
1-1
@ HJK Helsinki
🚩 3-5
02 Aug
2-1
@ Hibernian
🚩 2-9
16 May
1-0
@ Hibernian
🚩 4-7
13 May
2-3
vs Celtic
🚩 4-3
09 May
1-1
vs Hearts
🚩 2-6

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Recent matches (last 4)

Transfer activity

INAlex PaulsenGKfrom AFC BournemouthLoan
INJake Girdwood-ReichCBfrom St. Louis City€600k
INJamie Knight-LebelCBfrom Bristol CityLoan
INJoe HodgeCMfrom TondelaUndisclosed
INDylan WilliamsDMfrom Burton AlbionUndisclosed
INAlex LowryAMfrom Wycombe WanderersLoan
INMartin MoormannCBfrom BW LinzFree transfer
INWilly VogtSTfrom BellinzonaUndisclosed
OUTElijah JustAMto Swansea City€5.9m
OUTElliot WattDMto SamsunsporUndisclosed
OUTCalum WardGKto Queens Park Rangers€750k
OUTCallum SlatteryAMto Sheffield WednesdayFree transfer
OUTDylan WellsRWto LinfieldFree transfer
OUTAston OxboroughGKto Dunfermline AthleticUndisclosed
OUTLiam GordonCBto GillinghamFree transfer
OUTSam NicholsonCMto LivingstonFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Motherwell prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly