USA: MLSSunday 30 Aug, 23:00 UTC

St. Louis CITY SC vFC Dallas

Most likely scoreline
1–1
12% of the time · 2.63 goals expected
St. Louis CITY SC 44%Draw 31%FC Dallas 25%
How we get there
St. Louis CITY SCstepFC Dallas
1.53Base xG · rolling 26-match1.10
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.53Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.10

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

St. Louis City average 6.2 corners per game at home this season (22 competitive matches). Dallas average 3.8 corners per game away from home this season (26 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
7
8
4
2
1
11
12
7
2
1
2
8
9
5
2
1
3
4
5
3
1
4
2
2
1
5
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

St. Louis CITY SC fixtures & form →FC Dallas fixtures & form →

St. Louis CITY vs Dallas — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between St. Louis CITY and Dallas — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: St. Louis CITY 44% · draw 31% · Dallas 25%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

St. Louis CITY predictions & form →Dallas predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.