FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 23 August 2026
Vancouver Whitecaps 5–0 FC DallasMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 23 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Vancouver Whitecaps to win at 65%. Bawler had Vancouver Whitecaps at 65%, the draw at 20% and FC Dallas at 15%. The match finished 5–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Vancouver Whitecaps win
65%
Result
Draw
20%
FC Dallas win
15%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.2 – 1.0
Total 3.2
Actual
5 – 0
Total 5 (+1.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 0.6
From the match itself
The match produced 1.8 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Vancouver Whitecaps to win
Pre-match: 65%
Landed
Outside shot
Under 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 38%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.