St Johnstone vs Hibernian prediction — Scottish Prem · Sun 6 Sept · 15:00 UK

Scottish Prem · Sun 6 Sept · 15:00 UK
St Johnstone 27Draw 26Hibernian 47
The call
47%
Hibernian to win
2.9
Goals expected
13d 20hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

St Johnstone or draw53%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals55%
BTTS57%
St Johnstone win to nil13%
Hibernian or draw73%
Under 3.5 goals68%
Correct score 1–111%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-0.4 / match
Head-to-head, last 5STS 1 · D 1 · HIB 3
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Mar 2025Hibernian 3–0 St. Johnstone
Jan 2025St. Johnstone 1–1 Hibernian
Sept 2024Hibernian 2–0 St. Johnstone
Apr 2024St. Johnstone 1–3 Hibernian
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Common questions

Who will win St Johnstone vs Hibernian?

Bawler's model rates this match: Hibernian are favoured (47% win probability vs 27% for St Johnstone, 26% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for St Johnstone vs Hibernian?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is St Johnstone 1-1 Hibernian (12.1% probability). Expected total goals: 2.86.

How does Bawler predict St Johnstone vs Hibernian?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives St Johnstone 27%, the draw 26% and Hibernian 47%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in St Johnstone vs Hibernian?

BTTS: Yes (57% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.21 and away expected goals 1.65.

Over or under 2.5 goals in St Johnstone vs Hibernian?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.86. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Premiership table →
All fixtures & results →St Johnstone form →Hibernian form →