FT · Scotland: Scottish Prem · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Hibernian 1–1 AberdeenMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Hibernian win
61%
Draw
23%
Result
Aberdeen win
16%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.9 – 0.9
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 0.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.