What we expected
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win St Johnstone vs Celtic?
Bawler's model rates this match: Celtic are favoured (66% win probability vs 14% for St Johnstone, 20% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for St Johnstone vs Celtic?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is St Johnstone 0-2 Celtic (10.3% probability). Expected total goals: 3.16.
How does Bawler predict St Johnstone vs Celtic?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives St Johnstone 14%, the draw 20% and Celtic 66%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in St Johnstone vs Celtic?
BTTS: Yes (54% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 0.94 and away expected goals 2.21.
Over or under 2.5 goals in St Johnstone vs Celtic?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.16. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).