How it finished
Sporting CP beat Galatasaray 3–1. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Sporting CP had 8 shots (5 on target) to Galatasaray's 10 (3), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Sporting CP vs Galatasaray?
Sporting CP beat Galatasaray 3–1. Bawler's model had Sporting CP in front at 65% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. Sporting CP had 8 shots (5 on target) to Galatasaray's 10 (3), with 38% of the ball against 62%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 1.0.
What was the final score in Sporting CP vs Galatasaray?
Sporting CP 3–1 Galatasaray, played on 09 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sporting CP 65%, the draw 20% and Galatasaray 15%.
What were the stats in Sporting CP vs Galatasaray?
Full-time: Possession 38%–62%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–1.0, Shots 8–10, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 4–8, Big chances 2–3, Corners 1–4, Saves 3–2, Fouls 13–11, Offsides 3–0, Yellow cards 2–3.
Did both teams score in Sporting CP vs Galatasaray?
Yes — both Sporting CP and Galatasaray scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sporting CP vs Galatasaray right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sporting CP to win 65%, it finished Sporting CP won (65% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes.