FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Sunday, 13 September 2026

FC Famalicao 1–1 Sporting CPMatch recap · Sunday, 13 September 2026

Pre-match probability vs result

FC Famalicao win
24%
Draw
27%
Result
Sporting CP win
49%

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
1.0 – 1.6
Total 2.6
Actual
1 – 1
Total 2 (−0.6 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.4 – 2.3
From the match itself

The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.6 of our 2.6.

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