FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Galatasaray 1–0 KocaelisporMatch recap · Sunday, 13 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Galatasaray win
67%
Result
Draw
21%
Kocaelispor win
12%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.1 – 0.7
Total 2.8
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.4 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.