FT · TURKEY: Super Lig · Friday, 21 August 2026
Erzurum BB 0–4 GalatasarayMatch recap & how our call landed · Friday, 21 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Galatasaray or draw at 77%. Bawler had Erzurum BB at 23%, the draw at 24% and Galatasaray at 54%. The match finished 0–4.
Pre-match probability vs result
Erzurum BB win
23%
Draw
24%
Galatasaray win
54%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.9
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 4
Total 4 (+0.9 against our forecast)
The match produced 0.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 81%
Landed
Medium confidence
Galatasaray to win
Pre-match: 54%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 36%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.