How it finished
Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Sparta Rotterdam at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Sparta Rotterdam had 21 shots (8 on target) to PEC Zwolle's 15 (6), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.1.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 73%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Sparta Rotterdam at 51% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 24%. It forecast 3.1 goals; the match produced 4. Sparta Rotterdam had 21 shots (8 on target) to PEC Zwolle's 15 (6), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 2.2 to 1.1.
What was the final score in Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 PEC Zwolle, played on 04 Sept 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sparta Rotterdam 51%, the draw 24% and PEC Zwolle 25%.
What were the stats in Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 2.2–1.1, Shots 21–15, Shots on target 8–6, Shots inside box 15–10, Big chances 6–0, Corners 15–4, Saves 4–6, Fouls 12–11, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Yes — both Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 60% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Sparta Rotterdam or draw 75%, it finished Draw (24% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 60%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Sparta Rotterdam to win 51%, it finished Missed.