SC Cambuur beat PEC Zwolle 1–0. PEC Zwolle had 15 shots (6 on target) to SC Cambuur's 13 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 0.8, so PEC Zwolle created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
SC Cambuur beat PEC Zwolle 1–0. PEC Zwolle had 15 shots (6 on target) to SC Cambuur's 13 (4), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.0 to 0.8, so PEC Zwolle created the better chances and still lost the game.
PEC Zwolle 0–1 SC Cambuur, played on 11 Oct 2026 in the Netherlands: Eredivisie. Bawler's model had gone into it with PEC Zwolle 49%, the draw 23% and SC Cambuur 28%.
Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.0–0.8, Shots 15–13, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 11–11, Big chances 4–4, Corners 5–5, Saves 3–6, Fouls 16–15, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 3–3.
No. It finished 0–1, so PEC Zwolle failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 66% before kickoff.