What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Southampton vs Bristol City?
Bawler's model rates this match: Southampton are favoured (60% win probability vs 17% for Bristol City, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Southampton vs Bristol City?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Southampton 1-1 Bristol City (10.4% probability). Expected total goals: 3.05.
How does Bawler predict Southampton vs Bristol City?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Southampton 60%, the draw 22% and Bristol City 17%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Southampton vs Bristol City?
BTTS: Yes (55% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.04 and away expected goals 1.01.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Southampton vs Bristol City?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.05. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).