How it finished
Southampton beat Bristol City 4–1. Bawler's model had Southampton in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Southampton had 10 shots (5 on target) to Bristol City's 21 (6), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 2.2, so Bristol City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 79%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Southampton vs Bristol City?
Southampton beat Bristol City 4–1. Bawler's model had Southampton in front at 60% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. Southampton had 10 shots (5 on target) to Bristol City's 21 (6), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.4 to 2.2, so Bristol City created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Southampton vs Bristol City?
Southampton 4–1 Bristol City, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Southampton 60%, the draw 22% and Bristol City 18%.
What were the stats in Southampton vs Bristol City?
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–2.2, Shots 10–21, Shots on target 5–6, Shots inside box 8–18, Big chances 4–4, Corners 2–5, Saves 4–1, Fouls 6–14, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Southampton vs Bristol City?
Yes — both Southampton and Bristol City scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Southampton vs Bristol City right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Southampton to win 60%, it finished Southampton won (60% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Southampton or draw 82%, it finished Landed.