Southampton beat Norwich City 1–0. Norwich City had 12 shots (4 on target) to Southampton's 15 (4), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.3.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Southampton beat Norwich City 1–0. Norwich City had 12 shots (4 on target) to Southampton's 15 (4), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.3.
Norwich City 0–1 Southampton, played on 14 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Norwich City 35%, the draw 25% and Southampton 41%.
Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.3, Shots 12–15, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 5–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 15–9, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–2.
No. It finished 0–1, so Norwich City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.