Norwich City vs Southampton prediction — Championship · Wed 14 Oct · 19:45 UK

Championship · Wed 14 Oct · 19:45 UK
35Norwich City win25Draw41Southampton win
Full time
0–1

How it finished

Southampton beat Norwich City 1–0. Norwich City had 12 shots (4 on target) to Southampton's 15 (4), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.3.

Norwich CityFull-time statsSouthampton
49%Possession51%
1.1Expected goals (xG)2.3
12Shots15
4Shots on target4
8Shots inside box11
2Big chances3
5Corners3
3Saves3
15Fouls9
0Offsides3
2Yellow cards2
We predicted
1–2
Likeliest score if Southampton win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.5v1.7
3.2 in total
Both teams score
63%
Yes
3+ goals
61%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Norwich CityNorwich CitySouthamptonSouthampton
1.5Goals1.7
14.4Shots15.0
5.4On target5.7
4.0Corners5.4
Norwich CityNorwich CitySouthamptonSouthampton
0.7Goals0.7
6.7Shots7.2
2.4On target2.7
1.9Corners2.6
Norwich CityNorwich CitySouthamptonSouthampton
0.8Goals1.0
7.8Shots7.8
3.0On target3.0
2.1Corners2.9

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals83%
Southampton to score81%
Norwich City to score78%
Goal before half-time75%

First half — what we expected

Norwich City
52%
to score before half-time
Southampton
48%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Norwich CityNorwich CitySouthamptonSouthampton
60%6+ shots66%
36%8+ shots42%
66%2+ shots on target71%
24%4+ shots on target29%
51%2+ corners67%
15%4+ corners27%

League position

Southampton in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Mar 2026Southampton 1–0 Norwich City
Dec 2025Norwich City 2–1 Southampton
Aug 2025Norwich City 0–3 Southampton
Jan 2024Norwich City 1–1 Southampton
Aug 2023Southampton 4–4 Norwich City
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Championship table →
All fixtures & results →Norwich City form →Southampton form →

Common questions

Who won Norwich City vs Southampton?

Southampton beat Norwich City 1–0. Norwich City had 12 shots (4 on target) to Southampton's 15 (4), with 49% of the ball against 51%. Expected goals finished 1.1 to 2.3.

What was the final score in Norwich City vs Southampton?

Norwich City 0–1 Southampton, played on 14 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Norwich City 35%, the draw 25% and Southampton 41%.

What were the stats in Norwich City vs Southampton?

Full-time: Possession 49%–51%, Expected goals (xG) 1.1–2.3, Shots 12–15, Shots on target 4–4, Shots inside box 8–11, Big chances 2–3, Corners 5–3, Saves 3–3, Fouls 15–9, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 2–2.

Did both teams score in Norwich City vs Southampton?

No. It finished 0–1, so Norwich City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.