Sheffield United beat Lincoln City 3–0. Sheffield United had 10 shots (5 on target) to Lincoln City's 12 (4), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 0.6 to 1.3, so Lincoln City created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Sheffield United beat Lincoln City 3–0. Sheffield United had 10 shots (5 on target) to Lincoln City's 12 (4), with 57% of the ball against 43%. On expected goals it was 0.6 to 1.3, so Lincoln City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Sheffield United 3–0 Lincoln City, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Sheffield United 41%, the draw 27% and Lincoln City 31%.
Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 0.6–1.3, Shots 10–12, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 5–9, Big chances 1–3, Corners 2–2, Saves 4–2, Fouls 14–17, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 4–3.
No. It finished 3–0, so Lincoln City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.