FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Lincoln City 4–1 BurnleyMatch recap · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Lincoln City win
37%
Result
Draw
27%
Burnley win
35%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.4
Total 2.8
Actual
4 – 1
Total 5 (+2.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 2.3
From the match itself
The match produced 2.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.