FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Preston North End 0–1 Lincoln CityMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Preston North End win
37%
Draw
27%
Lincoln City win
36%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.4
Total 2.8
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.6 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 1.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.