FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Sheffield United 3–0 Lincoln CityMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Sheffield United or draw at 69%. Bawler had Sheffield United at 41%, the draw at 27% and Lincoln City at 31%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Sheffield United win
41%
Result
Draw
27%
Lincoln City win
31%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.2
Total 2.7
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.6 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 2.7.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 75%
Landed
Medium confidence
Both teams to score
Pre-match: 55%
Missed
Outside shot
Draw
Pre-match: 27%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.