FT · England: Championship · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Lincoln City 0–6 West Ham UnitedMatch recap & how our call landed · Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was West Ham United or draw at 72%. Bawler had Lincoln City at 28%, the draw at 26% and West Ham United at 46%. The match finished 0–6.
Pre-match probability vs result
Lincoln City win
28%
Draw
26%
West Ham United win
46%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.6
Total 2.8
Actual
0 – 6
Total 6 (+3.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.4 – 3.2
From the match itself
The match produced 3.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 77%
Landed
Medium confidence
West Ham United or draw
Pre-match: 72%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 31%
Landed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.