FT · England: EFL Cup · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Fleetwood Town 1–0 Sheffield UnitedMatch recap · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Fleetwood Town win
38%
Result
Draw
26%
Sheffield United win
36%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.5
Total 2.9
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.9 against our forecast)
The match produced 1.9 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.