USA: MLSSaturday 29 Aug, 20:30 UTC

Seattle Sounders FC vChicago Fire FC

Most likely scoreline
1–1
11% of the time · 2.94 goals expected
Seattle Sounders FC 39%Draw 30%Chicago Fire FC 31%
How we get there
Seattle Sounders FCstepChicago Fire FC
1.56Base xG · rolling 26-match1.38
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
1.56Final goal estimate — what the model uses1.38

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Seattle Sounders average 4.8 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Chicago Fire average 3.8 corners per game away from home this season (25 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
7
5
2
1
1
8
11
8
4
1
2
6
9
6
3
1
3
3
5
3
1
1
4
1
2
1
1
5
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

Seattle Sounders FC fixtures & form →Chicago Fire FC fixtures & form →

Seattle Sounders vs Chicago Fire — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Seattle Sounders and Chicago Fire — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Seattle Sounders 39% · draw 30% · Chicago Fire 31%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Seattle Sounders predictions & form →Chicago Fire predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.