Seattle Sounders FC and Chicago Fire FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Seattle Sounders FC had 11 shots (3 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 20 (11), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 78%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Seattle Sounders FC and Chicago Fire FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Seattle Sounders FC had 11 shots (3 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 20 (11), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.
Seattle Sounders FC 2–2 Chicago Fire FC, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seattle Sounders FC 44%, the draw 25% and Chicago Fire FC 31%.
Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.9, Shots 11–20, Shots on target 3–11, Shots inside box 7–13, Big chances 2–1, Corners 4–7, Saves 9–1, Fouls 9–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–0.
Yes — both Seattle Sounders FC and Chicago Fire FC scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Seattle Sounders FC 44%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 83%, it finished Landed.