Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC prediction — MLS · Sat 29 Aug · 21:30 UK

MLS · Sat 29 Aug · 21:30 UK
Seattle Sounders FC 44Draw 25Chicago Fire FC 31
The call
83%
Over 1.5 goals
3.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–2

How it finished

Seattle Sounders FC and Chicago Fire FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Seattle Sounders FC had 11 shots (3 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 20 (11), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.

Seattle…Full-time statsChicago Fire
44%Possession56%
0.8Expected goals (xG)1.9
11Shots20
3Shots on target11
7Shots inside box13
2Big chances1
4Corners7
9Saves1
9Fouls9
1Offsides0
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSeattle Sounders FC 44%Draw (25% called)
Total goals3.24
Both teams to score63%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 83%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Over 1.5 goals83%
Seattle Sounders FC to score82%
Chicago Fire FC to score76%
Over 2.5 goals61%

First half — what we expected

Seattle Sounders FCBefore half-timeChicago Fire FC
55%Chance to score51%
6.1Expected shots5.7
1.9Expected shots on target2.2
1.8Expected corners2.0
70%Chance of 5+ shots65%
40%Chance of 7+ shots35%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
30%Chance of 3+ shots on target38%
81%Chance of 1+ corners84%
27%Chance of 3+ corners33%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 78%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SEA 3 · D 0 · CHI 2
Opponent strength indexUpper mid

Head to head

Jun 2024Seattle Sounders FC 2–1 Chicago Fire FC
Jul 2022Chicago Fire FC 1–0 Seattle Sounders FC
Jul 2020Chicago Fire FC 2–1 Seattle Sounders FC
Mar 2020Seattle Sounders FC 2–1 Chicago Fire FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Seattle Sounders FC and Chicago Fire FC drew 2–2. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 44% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 25%. It forecast 3.2 goals; the match produced 4. Seattle Sounders FC had 11 shots (3 on target) to Chicago Fire FC's 20 (11), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 1.9.

What was the final score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Seattle Sounders FC 2–2 Chicago Fire FC, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seattle Sounders FC 44%, the draw 25% and Chicago Fire FC 31%.

What were the stats in Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–1.9, Shots 11–20, Shots on target 3–11, Shots inside box 7–13, Big chances 2–1, Corners 4–7, Saves 9–1, Fouls 9–9, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC?

Yes — both Seattle Sounders FC and Chicago Fire FC scored, finishing 2–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Seattle Sounders FC 44%, it finished Draw (25% called); Total goals — we said 3.2, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 83%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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