Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 02:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 02:30 UK
Seattle Sounders FC 62Draw 22Austin FC 16
The call
84%
Seattle Sounders FC or draw
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–2

How it finished

Austin FC beat Seattle Sounders FC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 62% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Austin FC 16%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Seattle Sounders FC had 19 shots (7 on target) to Austin FC's 12 (7), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.2, so Seattle Sounders FC created the better chances and still lost the game.

Seattle…Full-time statsAustin FC
46%Possession54%
1.3Expected goals (xG)1.2
19Shots12
7Shots on target7
12Shots inside box6
2Big chances3
7Corners5
5Saves6
10Fouls9
0Offsides1
1Yellow cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSeattle Sounders FC 62%Austin FC (16% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score53%Yes
Model call1X 84%Missed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Seattle Sounders FC to score87%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Under 3.5 goals65%
Austin FC to score61%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.1 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SEA 2 · D 1 · AUS 2
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Jul 2026Austin FC 3–1 Seattle Sounders FC
Sept 2025Austin FC 2–1 Seattle Sounders FC
Jun 2025Seattle Sounders FC 2–0 Austin FC
Jul 2024Austin FC 0–1 Seattle Sounders FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC?

Austin FC beat Seattle Sounders FC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Seattle Sounders FC at 62% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Austin FC 16%. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Seattle Sounders FC had 19 shots (7 on target) to Austin FC's 12 (7), with 46% of the ball against 54%. On expected goals it was 1.3 to 1.2, so Seattle Sounders FC created the better chances and still lost the game.

What was the final score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC?

Seattle Sounders FC 1–2 Austin FC, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Seattle Sounders FC 62%, the draw 22% and Austin FC 16%.

What were the stats in Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC?

Full-time: Possession 46%–54%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.2, Shots 19–12, Shots on target 7–7, Shots inside box 12–6, Big chances 2–3, Corners 7–5, Saves 5–6, Fouls 10–9, Offsides 0–1, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC?

Yes — both Seattle Sounders FC and Austin FC scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 53% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Seattle Sounders FC 62%, it finished Austin FC (16% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 53%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said 1X 84%, it finished Missed.

Around this fixture

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