How it finished
SC Freiburg beat Motherwell 4–1. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. SC Freiburg had 29 shots (11 on target) to Motherwell's 2 (1), with 70% of the ball against 30%. Expected goals finished 4.1 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one first-half goal: 75%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?
SC Freiburg beat Motherwell 4–1. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 69% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals; the match produced 5. SC Freiburg had 29 shots (11 on target) to Motherwell's 2 (1), with 70% of the ball against 30%. Expected goals finished 4.1 to 0.2.
What was the final score in SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?
SC Freiburg 4–1 Motherwell, played on 27 Aug 2026 in the Europe: Conference League - Qualification. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Freiburg 69%, the draw 20% and Motherwell 12%.
What were the stats in SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?
Full-time: Possession 70%–30%, Expected goals (xG) 4.1–0.2, Shots 29–2, Shots on target 11–1, Shots inside box 20–1, Big chances 5–0, Corners 7–1, Saves 0–6, Fouls 6–11, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 0–1, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Motherwell?
Yes — both SC Freiburg and Motherwell scored, finishing 4–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 49% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for SC Freiburg vs Motherwell right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said SC Freiburg 69%, it finished SC Freiburg (69% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 49%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Home Win 69%, it finished Landed.