Europe: Conference League - QualificationThursday 27 Aug, 16:45 UTC

SC Freiburg vMotherwell

Most likely scoreline
2–0
10% of the time · 3.02 goals expected
SC Freiburg 59%Draw 26%Motherwell 16%
How we get there
SC FreiburgstepMotherwell
2.04Base xG · rolling 26-match0.98
no injury adjustment — full squads available per FotMob
2.04Final goal estimate — what the model uses0.98

Early projection

These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.

Freiburg average 4.5 corners per game at home this season (25 competitive matches). Motherwell average 3.9 corners per game away from home this season (22 competitive matches).

Scoreline distribution · chance of each scoremodel estimate
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
0
5
5
2
1
1
10
10
5
2
2
10
10
5
2
3
7
7
3
1
4
4
3
2
1
5
1
1
1
6
home windrawaway win

More predictions for these teams

SC Freiburg fixtures & form →Motherwell fixtures & form →

Freiburg vs Motherwell — Head-to-Head

This is the first meeting Bawler has on record between Freiburg and Motherwell — the model's ledger starts at model launch, so no earlier fixtures between these two sides have been logged and settled yet.

The model's verdict for this fixture: Freiburg 59% · draw 26% · Motherwell 16%.

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — past results do not decide future ones.

Freiburg predictions & form →Motherwell predictions & form →BTTS predictions →Over 2.5 goals predictions →Full track record →
More match predictions ▶

Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.