How it finished
SC Freiburg beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 5–0. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. SC Freiburg had 19 shots (9 on target) to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 5 (0), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 69%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
SC Freiburg beat Borussia Mönchengladbach 5–0. Bawler's model had SC Freiburg in front at 52% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals; the match produced 5. SC Freiburg had 19 shots (9 on target) to Borussia Mönchengladbach's 5 (0), with 61% of the ball against 39%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.2.
What was the final score in SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
SC Freiburg 5–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach, played on 12 Sept 2026 in the Germany: Bundesliga. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Freiburg 52%, the draw 25% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 23%.
What were the stats in SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Full-time: Possession 61%–39%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.2, Shots 19–5, Shots on target 9–0, Shots inside box 12–4, Big chances 2–0, Corners 6–2, Saves 0–4, Fouls 7–16, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 1–4, Red cards 0–1.
Did both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
No. It finished 5–0, so Borussia Mönchengladbach failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said SC Freiburg or draw 77%, it finished SC Freiburg won (52% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 55%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.