FT · Germany: Bundesliga · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–4 MainzMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Borussia Mönchengladbach win
35%
Draw
25%
Mainz win
40%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.6
Total 3.1
Actual
3 – 4
Total 7 (+3.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.4 – 2.7
From the match itself
The match produced 3.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.