SC Freiburg vs Jablonec prediction — Conference League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK

Conference League · Thu 15 Oct · 20:00 UK
68SC Freiburg win20Draw11Jablonec win
Full time
3–2

How it finished

SC Freiburg beat Jablonec 3–2. SC Freiburg had 23 shots (9 on target) to Jablonec's 11 (2), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.2.

SC FreiburgFull-time statsJablonec
60%Possession40%
1.9Expected goals (xG)1.2
23Shots11
9Shots on target2
14Shots inside box8
2Big chances2
5Corners1
0Saves8
19Fouls14
0Offsides2
1Yellow cards3
We predicted
2–0
SC Freiburg to win · 13% for this exact score
Expected goals
2.1v0.7
2.9 in total
Both teams score
46%
Leans no
3+ goals
54%
Leans likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

SC FreiburgSC FreiburgJablonecJablonec
2.1Goals0.7
12.6Shots6.9
5.1On target2.2
4.9Corners2.6
SC FreiburgSC FreiburgJablonecJablonec
1.0Goals0.3
6.0Shots3.1
2.3On target1.0
2.3Corners1.2
SC FreiburgSC FreiburgJablonecJablonec
1.1Goals0.4
6.6Shots3.8
2.8On target1.2
2.6Corners1.4

What we said the chances were

SC Freiburg to score88%
2 or more goals78%
Goal before half-time73%
3 goals or fewer68%

First half — what we expected

SC Freiburg
62%
to score before half-time
Jablonec
28%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

SC FreiburgSC FreiburgJablonecJablonec
65%5+ shots24%
39%7+ shots<10%
87%1+ shots on target58%
39%3+ shots on target<10%
86%1+ corners65%
39%3+ corners15%

League position

Jablonec in their league tableUpper half
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Bundesliga table →
All fixtures & results →SC Freiburg form →Jablonec form →

Common questions

Who won SC Freiburg vs Jablonec?

SC Freiburg beat Jablonec 3–2. SC Freiburg had 23 shots (9 on target) to Jablonec's 11 (2), with 60% of the ball against 40%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.2.

What was the final score in SC Freiburg vs Jablonec?

SC Freiburg 3–2 Jablonec, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Conference League. Bawler's model had gone into it with SC Freiburg 68%, the draw 20% and Jablonec 11%.

What were the stats in SC Freiburg vs Jablonec?

Full-time: Possession 60%–40%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.2, Shots 23–11, Shots on target 9–2, Shots inside box 14–8, Big chances 2–2, Corners 5–1, Saves 0–8, Fouls 19–14, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 1–3.

Did both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Jablonec?

Yes — both SC Freiburg and Jablonec scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.