SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen prediction — Eredivisie · Sat 12 Sept · 20:00 UK

Eredivisie · Sat 12 Sept · 20:00 UK
SC Cambuur 15Draw 19NEC Nijmegen 66
The call
66%
NEC Nijmegen to win
3.6
Goals expected
14d 05hUntil lineups lock

What we expect

NEC Nijmegen to score92%
Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals70%
SC Cambuur to score68%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)-1.3 / match
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

Feb 2024Cambuur 1–2 NEC Nijmegen
Feb 2023NEC Nijmegen 0–0 Cambuur
Nov 2022Cambuur 0–1 NEC Nijmegen
Apr 2022Cambuur 1–2 NEC Nijmegen
Build a combination on this match →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who will win SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?

Bawler's model rates this match: NEC Nijmegen are favoured (66% win probability vs 15% for SC Cambuur, 19% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is SC Cambuur 1-2 NEC Nijmegen (9.3% probability). Expected total goals: 3.64.

How does Bawler predict SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives SC Cambuur 15%, the draw 19% and NEC Nijmegen 66%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?

BTTS: Yes (63% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.15 and away expected goals 2.49.

Over or under 2.5 goals in SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.64. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

Eredivisie table →
All fixtures & results →SC Cambuur form →NEC Nijmegen form →