FT · Netherlands: Eredivisie · Sunday, 11 October 2026

PEC Zwolle 0–1 SC CambuurMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 11 October 2026

PEC Zwolle
0–1
SC Cambuur win
SC Cambuur

Our call before kickoff

Our call missed

Before kickoff our call was PEC Zwolle or draw at 72%. Bawler had PEC Zwolle at 49%, the draw at 23% and SC Cambuur at 28%. The match finished 0–1.

Pre-match probability vs result

PEC Zwolle win
49%
Draw
23%
SC Cambuur win
28%
Result

Goals we expected vs goals scored

Our forecast
2.0 – 1.5
Total 3.5
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−2.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 0.8
From the match itself

The match produced 2.5 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.

Every graded pick · and how it landed

Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 86%
Missed
Medium confidence
PEC Zwolle or draw
Pre-match: 72%
Missed

Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.

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