FT · Italy: Serie A · Friday, 18 September 2026
Monza 2–1 SassuoloMatch recap · Friday, 18 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Monza win
45%
Result
Draw
27%
Sassuolo win
28%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.2
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 2.7.