FT · Italy: Serie A · Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Sassuolo 2–6 LazioMatch recap · Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Sassuolo win
35%
Draw
27%
Lazio win
38%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.4
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 6
Total 8 (+5.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.8 – 3.4
From the match itself
The match produced 5.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.