How it finished
Santa Clara beat Rio Ave 4–0. Bawler's model had Santa Clara in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 4. Santa Clara had 16 shots (6 on target) to Rio Ave's 5 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.3.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 60%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
Santa Clara beat Rio Ave 4–0. Bawler's model had Santa Clara in front at 53% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.4 goals; the match produced 4. Santa Clara had 16 shots (6 on target) to Rio Ave's 5 (3), with 59% of the ball against 41%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 0.3.
What was the final score in Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
Santa Clara 4–0 Rio Ave, played on 06 Sept 2026 in the Portugal: Primeira Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Santa Clara 53%, the draw 27% and Rio Ave 20%.
What were the stats in Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
Full-time: Possession 59%–41%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–0.3, Shots 16–5, Shots on target 6–3, Shots inside box 14–3, Big chances 4–0, Corners 8–2, Saves 3–2, Fouls 12–9, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Santa Clara vs Rio Ave?
No. It finished 4–0, so Rio Ave failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 46% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Santa Clara vs Rio Ave right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Santa Clara or draw 80%, it finished Santa Clara won (53% called); Total goals — we said 2.4, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 46%, it finished No.