FT · Portugal: Primeira Liga · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Alverca 1–0 Rio AveMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Alverca win
49%
Result
Draw
26%
Rio Ave win
25%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.1
Total 2.7
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.7 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
3.3 – 0.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.