San Diego FC vs LA Galaxy prediction — MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 03:30 UK

MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 03:30 UK
San Diego FC 54Draw 23LA Galaxy 23
The call
84%
Over 1.5 goals
3.3
Goals expected
Full time
Final 3–1

How it finished

San Diego FC beat LA Galaxy 3–1. Bawler's model had San Diego FC in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. San Diego FC had 20 shots (7 on target) to LA Galaxy's 17 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.9.

San Diego FCFull-time statsLA Galaxy
44%Possession56%
2.4Expected goals (xG)0.9
20Shots17
7Shots on target7
13Shots inside box5
3Big chances1
7Corners7
6Saves3
10Fouls14
1Offsides4
5Yellow cards2
1Red cards0
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultSan Diego FC 54%San Diego FC (54% called)
Total goals3.34
Both teams to score63%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 84%Landed
Second callHome Win 54%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
San Diego FC to score87%
Over 1.5 goals84%
LA Galaxy to score72%
Over 2.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

San Diego FCBefore half-timeLA Galaxy
61%Chance to score45%
7.2Expected shots4.4
2.6Expected shots on target2.2
2.9Expected corners2.5
69%Chance of 6+ shots29%
42%Chance of 8+ shots10%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target64%
27%Chance of 4+ shots on target18%
77%Chance of 2+ corners69%
34%Chance of 4+ corners26%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 79%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.7 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SAN 2 · D 0 · LAL 0
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2025San Diego FC 2–1 LA Galaxy
Feb 2025LA Galaxy 0–2 San Diego FC
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won San Diego FC vs LA Galaxy?

San Diego FC beat LA Galaxy 3–1. Bawler's model had San Diego FC in front at 54% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.3 goals and the match produced 4. San Diego FC had 20 shots (7 on target) to LA Galaxy's 17 (7), with 44% of the ball against 56%. Expected goals finished 2.4 to 0.9.

What was the final score in San Diego FC vs LA Galaxy?

San Diego FC 3–1 LA Galaxy, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with San Diego FC 54%, the draw 23% and LA Galaxy 23%.

What were the stats in San Diego FC vs LA Galaxy?

Full-time: Possession 44%–56%, Expected goals (xG) 2.4–0.9, Shots 20–17, Shots on target 7–7, Shots inside box 13–5, Big chances 3–1, Corners 7–7, Saves 6–3, Fouls 10–14, Offsides 1–4, Yellow cards 5–2, Red cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in San Diego FC vs LA Galaxy?

Yes — both San Diego FC and LA Galaxy scored, finishing 3–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 63% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for San Diego FC vs LA Galaxy right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said San Diego FC 54%, it finished San Diego FC (54% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 4; Both teams to score — we said 63%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 84%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Home Win 54%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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All fixtures & results →San Diego FC form →LA Galaxy form →