Real Sociedad vs Espanyol prediction — LaLiga · Sat 29 Aug · 18:00 UK

LaLiga · Sat 29 Aug · 18:00 UK
Real Sociedad 50Draw 25Espanyol 26
The call
81%
Over 1.5 goals
3.0
Goals expected
Full time
Final 2–1

How it finished

Real Sociedad beat Espanyol 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Sociedad in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Real Sociedad had 17 shots (10 on target) to Espanyol's 11 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.

Real SociedadFull-time statsEspanyol
51%Possession49%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.8
17Shots11
10Shots on target3
13Shots inside box6
5Big chances1
7Corners3
2Saves7
19Fouls14
0Offsides0
2Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultReal Sociedad 50%Real Sociedad (50% called)
Total goals3.03
Both teams to score59%Yes
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 81%Landed
Second call1X 74%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Real Sociedad to score83%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Espanyol to score71%
Under 3.5 goals64%

First half — what we expected

Real SociedadBefore half-timeEspanyol
49%Chance to score33%
6.9Expected shots5.7
2.7Expected shots on target1.9
3.1Expected corners2.4
67%Chance of 6+ shots49%
39%Chance of 8+ shots23%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target57%
29%Chance of 4+ shots on target13%
80%Chance of 2+ corners68%
38%Chance of 4+ corners24%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 66%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5SOC 3 · D 2 · ESP 0
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2026Espanyol 1–1 Real Sociedad
Aug 2025Real Sociedad 2–2 Espanyol
Feb 2025Real Sociedad 2–1 Espanyol
Aug 2024Espanyol 0–1 Real Sociedad
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?

Real Sociedad beat Espanyol 2–1. Bawler's model had Real Sociedad in front at 50% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.0 goals and the match produced 3. Real Sociedad had 17 shots (10 on target) to Espanyol's 11 (3), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.8.

What was the final score in Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?

Real Sociedad 2–1 Espanyol, played on 29 Aug 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Sociedad 50%, the draw 25% and Espanyol 26%.

What were the stats in Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.8, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 10–3, Shots inside box 13–6, Big chances 5–1, Corners 7–3, Saves 2–7, Fouls 19–14, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 2–4.

Did both teams score in Real Sociedad vs Espanyol?

Yes — both Real Sociedad and Espanyol scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 59% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Real Sociedad vs Espanyol right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Real Sociedad 50%, it finished Real Sociedad (50% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 59%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 81%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said 1X 74%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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