FT · Spain: La Liga · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Rayo Vallecano 2–1 EspanyolMatch recap · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Rayo Vallecano win
54%
Result
Draw
25%
Espanyol win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.0
Total 2.8
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (+0.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 1.5
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.2 of our 2.8.