Real Betis beat FC Porto 3–2. Real Betis had 17 shots (7 on target) to FC Porto's 11 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.9.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Real Betis beat FC Porto 3–2. Real Betis had 17 shots (7 on target) to FC Porto's 11 (5), with 56% of the ball against 44%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.9.
Real Betis 3–2 FC Porto, played on 14 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Betis 39%, the draw 27% and FC Porto 34%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.9, Shots 17–11, Shots on target 7–5, Shots inside box 12–10, Big chances 2–3, Corners 5–1, Saves 3–4, Fouls 14–15, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 4–4.
Yes — both Real Betis and FC Porto scored, finishing 3–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.