RB Salzburg vs AC Milan prediction — Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK

Europa League · Thu 15 Oct · 17:45 UK
35RB Salzburg win25Draw40AC Milan win
Full time
0–4

How it finished

AC Milan beat RB Salzburg 4–0. RB Salzburg had 14 shots (2 on target) to AC Milan's 15 (10), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 4.0.

RB SalzburgFull-time statsAC Milan
52%Possession48%
0.8Expected goals (xG)4.0
14Shots15
2Shots on target10
6Shots inside box13
1Big chances6
3Corners2
5Saves2
13Fouls12
1Offsides2
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
We predicted
1–2
Likeliest score if AC Milan win (9%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.5v1.6
3.1 in total
Both teams score
62%
Yes
3+ goals
60%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

RB SalzburgRB SalzburgAC MilanAC Milan
1.5Goals1.6
13.3Shots7.0
4.6On target3.0
5.2Corners2.4
RB SalzburgRB SalzburgAC MilanAC Milan
0.7Goals0.5
6.1Shots3.0
2.0On target1.2
2.4Corners1.1
RB SalzburgRB SalzburgAC MilanAC Milan
0.8Goals1.1
7.3Shots3.9
2.5On target1.8
2.7Corners1.3

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals82%
AC Milan to score80%
RB Salzburg to score78%
Goal before half-time68%
3 goals or fewer62%

First half — what we expected

RB Salzburg
48%
to score before half-time
AC Milan
38%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

RB SalzburgRB SalzburgAC MilanAC Milan
66%5+ shots22%
40%7+ shots<10%
83%1+ shots on target65%
33%3+ shots on target14%
87%1+ corners61%
42%3+ corners13%

League position

AC Milan in their league tableTop quarter

Head to head

Nov 2022Milan 4–0 Salzburg
Sept 2022Salzburg 1–1 Milan
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

Serie A table →
All fixtures & results →RB Salzburg form →AC Milan form →

Common questions

Who won RB Salzburg vs AC Milan?

AC Milan beat RB Salzburg 4–0. RB Salzburg had 14 shots (2 on target) to AC Milan's 15 (10), with 52% of the ball against 48%. Expected goals finished 0.8 to 4.0.

What was the final score in RB Salzburg vs AC Milan?

RB Salzburg 0–4 AC Milan, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Europa League. Bawler's model had gone into it with RB Salzburg 35%, the draw 25% and AC Milan 40%.

What were the stats in RB Salzburg vs AC Milan?

Full-time: Possession 52%–48%, Expected goals (xG) 0.8–4.0, Shots 14–15, Shots on target 2–10, Shots inside box 6–13, Big chances 1–6, Corners 3–2, Saves 5–2, Fouls 13–12, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 1–1, Red cards 0–1.

Did both teams score in RB Salzburg vs AC Milan?

No. It finished 0–4, so RB Salzburg failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.