RB Salzburg v Ararat-Armenia prediction
Our model makes RB Salzburg clear favourites for this Europa League game, with a 69% chance of winning. Ararat-Armenia are given 12%, and the draw 19%. If you want one score, our predicted score is RB Salzburg 2–0 Ararat-Armenia, at 11%. We expect 3.3 goals in total: 2.4 for RB Salzburg and 0.9 for Ararat-Armenia. Both sides are more likely than not to score (54%) and three or more goals is 63%.
RB Salzburg come in with three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last six. Ararat-Armenia have four wins, no draws and two defeats over the same run.
We expect RB Salzburg to have 15.3 shots (9.2 on target) and Ararat-Armenia 5.5 (2.1 on target), and corners at 3.6 to 1.6. That points to RB Salzburg doing more of the attacking.
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties.
What we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
RB Salzburg · last 6
Ararat-Armenia · last 6
League position
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
RB Salzburg to win is 69% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Around this fixture
Common questions
Who will win RB Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia?
Bawler's model rates this match: RB Salzburg are favoured (69% win probability vs 12% for Ararat-Armenia, 19% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for RB Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia?
Bawler's predicted score is RB Salzburg 2-0 Ararat-Armenia: the most likely score if RB Salzburg win, which is the likeliest result (69%). Our model puts that exact score at 10.6%. Expected total goals: 3.3.
How does Bawler predict RB Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives RB Salzburg 69%, the draw 19% and Ararat-Armenia 12%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in RB Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on RB Salzburg expecting 2.36 goals and Ararat-Armenia 0.90.
Over or under 2.5 goals in RB Salzburg vs Ararat-Armenia?
Bawler's model expects 3.3 goals in total. It leans towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 63%.
When are the RB Salzburg v Ararat-Armenia line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.