FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 22 October 2026
NK Celje 2–2 RB SalzburgMatch recap · Thursday, 22 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
NK Celje win
35%
Draw
25%
Result
RB Salzburg win
40%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.6
Total 3.1
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+0.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.6 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced 0.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.